After the major policy changes of 2025, the Trump administration and the Republican-controlled U.S. Congress undoubtedly view 2026 as an opportunity to cement these gains and further advance their policy agendas. But legislating is hard, rulemaking can be a lengthy process fraught with legal pitfalls, and the midterm elections loom. Set forth below is a preview of what employers can expect from a federal policy standpoint in 2026.
The 119th Congress
Federal lawmakers returned to Washington, D.C., this week for the second session of the 119th Congress. In the U.S. Senate, Republicans have a 53–47 majority, and in the U.S. House of Representatives, Republicans currently have a 218–213 majority (with four vacancies). These slim margins in both chambers mean that Republicans will need the assistance of Democrats to pass most legislation, unless the Republicans take another crack at the reconciliation process, which they used in 2025 to pass the “One Big Beautiful Bill Act” on a party-line basis.
To make things more complicated, the 2026 federal midterm elections will be held on November 3, 2026. The impending elections will heavily influence the Republicans’ legislative agenda in the coming months, as they look to move legislation that they believe will benefit them on Election Day. The midterm elections also create a truncated legislative calendar, as, in addition to their traditionally scheduled August recess, incumbent legislators seeking reelection are currently scheduled to spend nearly all of October campaigning in their districts. The post-election “lame-duck” session of Congress could also present an opportunity for rare moments of bipartisanship.
Here is what to watch:
- Another Shutdown? At the start, Congress faces issues that carry over from 2025: how to address healthcare insurance premium subsidies and a January 30, 2026, federal government funding deadline. As of now, neither party is indicating that they have an appetite for another government shutdown, but that can always change as the deadline approaches. The deal that reopened the federal government in November 2025 after a record-breaking forty-three-day shutdown included three of the twelve spending bills. The clock is currently ticking for Congress to do something about the remaining nine bills.
- Big-Ticket Items. Republicans will likely turn their attention to bills addressing surface transportation and water infrastructure projects, permitting reform, and perhaps another reconciliation bill that would include remaining fiscal goals that would be permitted under the arcane legislative process. The Senate will also focus on confirming nominees to both the executive branch and the federal bench.
- Labor/Employment Legislation. In 2025, Republican Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) caused a stir with the introduction of his labor reform framework. Hawley promoted these ideas at multiple hearings of the Senate HELP Committee, and he can be expected to continue to push elements of the framework throughout 2026. The question is, will other Republicans jump on board?
As a Republican alternative to Hawley’s framework, Senate HELP Committee chair Bill Cassidy introduced a slate of bills that would enhance employees’ rights vis-à-vis their labor unions. A similar series of bills was introduced in the House. Employers may hear more about these bills in 2026, though they are not expected to pass as long as the legislative filibuster remains intact.
Other bills to watch include the Working Families Flexibility Act of 2025 (H.R. 2870) (allowing employees to choose paid time off in lieu of overtime pay), Tipped Employee Protection Act (H.R. 2312) (providing a more specific definition of “tipped employee”), the Save Local Business Act (H.R. 4366), the Employee Rights Act, as well as bills relating to independent contractors.
- Immigration Legislation. Republicans in Congress are taking their cues from the administration when it comes to scrutiny of immigration policy, as they’ve introduced dozens of bills that would dramatically reform our immigration laws. One bill in particular that employers should monitor is the H-1B and L-1 Visa Reform Act.
The politics surrounding this bill are particularly interesting. Colloquially referred to as the “Durbin/Grassley” bill, besides original co-sponsors Chuck Grassley (R-IA) and Dick Durbin (D-IL), other co-sponsors of the bill include Senators Bernard Sanders (I-VT), Tommy Tuberville (R-AL), and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT)—strange political bedfellows, indeed. Grassley and Durbin have also joined together in demanding that tech companies answer questions about their hiring of H-1B visa holders. The two senators first introduced the bill nearly twenty years ago. With Durbin not seeking reelection and Grassley being ninety-one years old, 2026 might be their last opportunity to push for passage of the bill. All of these factors could provide this bill with traction in the Senate.
Other immigration bills to watch include the Halting International Relocation of Employment (HIRE) Act, the American Tech Workforce Act, “Strengthening Accountability for Employers Hiring Individuals and Reforming Enforcement Act (SAFE HIRE) Act,’’ Colleges for the American People Act (“CAP Act”), and the Pause Admissions Until Security Ensured (PAUSE) Act (prohibits issuance of visas and status adjustments until various changes are made to federal law, such as elimination of the Optional Practical Training Program and codification of President Trump’s H-1B proclamation).
Federal Agencies
Rather than appearing in June or even July of 2025, the Spring 2025 Unified Agenda of Regulatory and Deregulatory Actions (“Spring Regulatory Agenda”) was not released until September 4, 2025. It is, therefore, not surprising that the issuance of the fall 2025 regulatory agenda—often released in November or December—has been delayed. Once the administration releases an updated agenda, it will provide stakeholders with notice of the expected regulatory landscape for approximately the next six months. Until then, the following regulatory forecasts are based on the existing agenda and informed political and policy analysis.
U.S. Department of Labor (DOL)—Wage and Hour Division (WHD)
In 2025, the WHD took steps to implement the administration’s new policy agenda. Examples include the resuscitation of the Payroll Audit Independent Determination (PAID) program, issuing several new Fair Labor Standards Act (FLSA) opinion letters, and walking back enforcement of the Biden-era independent contractor regulation. In 2026, however, the WHD can be expected to accelerate its rulemaking agenda, particularly now that Andrew Rogers has been installed as wage and hour administrator. Examples of rulemakings that WHD can be expected to pursue in 2026 include the independent contractor and joint-employer tests under the FLSA, as well as the rescission of the December 2024 dual jobs rule for tipped employees. Proposed regulations relating to exemptions from minimum wage and overtime pay requirements for certain employees are categorized as “long-term actions” in the most recent regulatory agenda.
DOL—Occupational Safety and Health Administration (OSHA)
Assistant Secretary of Labor for Occupational Safety and Health, David Keeling, was not confirmed by the U.S. Senate until October 2025, and he has not had a lot of time at the helm of the workplace safety agency. However, in 2025, OSHA took steps to reduce penalties for small businesses, proposed revisions to twenty-six standards, and relaunched its opinion letter program. What is on Keeling’s agenda for 2026?
Perhaps the most significant policy question facing OSHA in 2026 concerns the fate of the Biden-era heat injury and illness prevention standard proposal. Rather than pausing the proposal or scrapping it altogether, OSHA has actually moved forward with the proposal, holding public hearings on the matter during the summer of 2025. But while OSHA pushes ahead with the proposal, the Spring Regulatory Agenda has provided no further updates on next steps. Will OSHA issue a final rule, presumably with changes based on the public feedback? If so, will it be a logical outgrowth of the proposal, or will the agency have to issue an entirely new proposal? The next regulatory agenda should provide some clues as to where the proposal is heading.
In 2026, employers can also expect OSHA to move forward with proposed modifications to the general duty clause, the lock-out/tag-out standard, walking-working surfaces, as well as a potential proposed standard relating to tree care work. There was no entry in the Spring Regulatory Agenda regarding OSHA’s controversial “walkaround rule,” which has been challenged in federal court.
Although independent of OSHA, the Occupational Safety and Health Review Commission (OSHRC) plays an important role in adjudicating workplace safety disputes between OSHA and employers. Unfortunately, OSHRC still lacks a quorum and won’t be able to issue decisions until another commissioner is appointed—perhaps in 2026.
U.S. Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC)
In 2025, under the leadership of now-Chair Andrea Lucas, the EEOC made it clear that it prioritizes investigations of diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI)–related discrimination and “anti-American” national origin discrimination, ensuring religious liberty in the workplace, and preserving women’s rights to single-sex spaces, among other areas. However, for much of the year, the Commission lacked a quorum. And it still lacks a Senate-confirmed general counsel (though President Donald Trump has nominated management attorney M. Carter Crow to fill that role). However, on October 27, 2025, Brittany Bull Panuccio was sworn in as commissioner, restoring a quorum to the EEOC. In 2026, she is likely to join Chair Lucas in revisiting regulations implementing the Pregnant Workers Fairness Act, as well as the Commission’s guidance on harassment in the workplace.
National Labor Relations Board (NLRB)
Lacking a functional quorum for nearly all of 2025, the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) failed to address any of the numerous Biden-era Board policies that tilted the labor-management landscape in favor of labor unions. Those policies included ambush election regulations, as well as decisions limiting employers’ abilities to communicate with employees, a lowered standard for the issuance of bargaining orders, expanded remedies, and a second-guessing of commonsense workplace rules, among others.
With Scott Mayer and James Murphy joining lone Democrat David Prouty on the Board, there is now a quorum. However, as the Buzz has discussed on multiple occasions, overturning that Biden-era precedent might not happen so quickly. That’s because the Board traditionally does not overturn existing law unless there are three affirmative votes. So, it is very likely that a third Republican member will need to be confirmed and appointed before the case rollback can really begin. That said, Mayer and Murphy have the authority to amend or address the ambush regulations or engage in other rulemaking. The Board can also begin addressing the current backlog by ruling on noncontroversial cases.
The Board also faces external legal pressures that potentially jeopardize its continued validity.
- Federal district courts in New York and California have ruled that recently passed laws in each state that grant authority to state public employment boards to intervene in private-sector labor matters are preempted by the National Labor Relations Act. The lack of a Board quorum was likely a motivating factor in enacting those laws; now that there is a quorum at the Board, combined with the courts’ decisions, we are unlikely to see similar efforts in the future.
- However, whether statutory removal protections for both Board members and NLRB administrative law judges are unconstitutional has been addressed by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Fifth Circuit and the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
How—and if—these issues are resolved will have a significant impact on how the Board operates and makes policy, which will clearly have an impact on employers.
Immigration (DOL, U.S. Department of State, and U.S. Department of Homeland Security)
2025 was clearly a year of massive upheaval in the immigration policy arena. Among other issues, the administration sought to end birthright citizenship, instituted multiple travel bans, rescinded Temporary Protected Status from multiple countries, instituted social media vetting for tourists, H-1B holders, and foreign national students, instituted a $100,000 entry fee for H-1B visa holders, and at the very end of 2025, U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services (USCIS) finalized its H-1B weighted selection rule. In 2026, the administration is expected to continue to scrutinize lawful immigration, and employers should monitor the following developments:
- Prevailing Wages. At the end of 2025, the DOL sent to the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs a proposal titled, “Improving Wage Protections for H-1B and PERM Employment in the United States.” While the proposal is not public at this time, it is expected to propose increasing the prevailing wage requirement for H-1B visa holders and PERM labor certifications. The proposal is likely similar to a rule that was finalized in the first Trump administration, challenged in federal court, and subsequently withdrawn by the Biden administration. The DOL is also pursuing this latest effort as instructed in President Trump’s H-1B proclamation.
- OPT/STEM OPT. In 2026, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) is expected to issue a proposed rule to “amend existing regulations to address fraud and national security concerns, protect U.S. workers from being displaced by foreign nationals, and enhance the Student and Exchange Visitor Program’s capacity to oversee the program.” The proposal is expected to eliminate the program entirely, rather than attempt to make changes to it.
- Fixed Period of Stay Proposal for F-1 Students, J-1 Exchange Visitors. Currently, F-1 students and J-1 exchange visitors are permitted to remain in the United States, as long as they are pursuing a full course of study at an educational institution or participating in an authorized program. ICE now proposes to set the authorized admission periods for F and J nonimmigrants up to the length of the particular program, with a four-year maximum period (at which time they can apply for an extension of stay). The public comment docket for this proposal closed on September 29, 2025. A final rule is expected in 2026.
- H-1B Reform. According to the Spring Regulatory Agenda, USCIS “will propose to reform the H-1B program by revising eligibility for cap exemptions, providing greater scrutiny for employers that have violated program requirements, and increasing oversight over third-party placements, among other provisions.” The Spring Regulatory Agenda had this proposal slated to issue in December 2025, so it is obviously delayed. It is likely that the proposal will issue sometime in the first half of 2026, but an updated agenda will obviously provide a more accurate timeline.
- Project Firewall. The DOL’s H-1B enforcement program—Project Firewall—debuted in late September 2025. Two weeks later, the federal government shut down for forty-three days. Despite the shutdown, Trump administration officials claim that they have launched almost 200 investigations under Project Firewall. Investigations under Project Firewall are expected to increase in 2026 as the initiative picks up steam.